Tag Archives: DV 2024 Cut-Off Numbers

The Visa Bulletin for May 2024 that should be released in this month of April was released few days ago. This article will focus on details/analysis concerning the June 2024 cut-off numbers in the DV-2024 program.

Before you proceed, read this: Visa Bulletin For May 2024 and Cut-Off Numbers for June 2024 Published

Though the cut-off numbers in this year’s program is on a low, generally. The reason why, for those who are not aware of that reason, it stems from caution being applied by the visa office as a result of the unfortunate experience that they had at the end of the DV-2023 program.

Just to recall, last year, around the month of July, we saw a close to reaching the total number of visas that should have been issued out in the DV-2023 program. Unfortunately, those who should have been monitoring the statistics of the DV-2023 program were not doing their work as it were.

It happened that the program issued out nearly all of the 55,000 visas very early in the month of September, whereas KCC had already served so any interview notifications for the remaining three weeks in that month. So only one week into the month of September, the DV-2023 program came to an abrupt end, and all of the interviews that that had been scheduled for the rest of the month of September were canceled.

For DV-2024 applicants, it’s very likely that the Visa Office would apply caution when it comes to moving the cut-off numbers related to the DV-2024 program. On the overall, that is what we have experienced, and that’s the primary reason why we have the low movements in the cut-up numbers in the just released visa bulletin.

There are other reasons which concern specific regions like the Asia and the Europe regions. But when it comes to the overall slow movements or low movements in the cut-up numbers in the DV-2024 program, including what we just experienced, then it is due to the caution that is being applied by the visa office as a result of their bad experience with the DV-2023 program.

It is true that some people would like to see the cut-off numbers in the visa bulletin increase at a faster pace. But you should also understand that the diversity visa program operates in a specific context. There is a limited number of visas to be issued out every year, and those running the program take that into consideration, when it comes to moving the cut-off numbers.

Then, in addition to that, their bad experience with the DV-2023 program has also caused them to ensure that that mistake from the DV-2023 program is not repeated in the DV-2024 program.

So it is true that you would like to see the cut-off number move at a faster pace, but you should also take this into consideration. The big question which some people will be asking, based on the caution being applied by the visa office based on their experience with the DV-2023 program, is what to expect, will this continue? Will the low movements in the cut-off numbers continue up to the end of the DV-2024 program?

Those questions will be answered in upcoming articles.

Concerning the first of those four cut-up numbers, we have already experienced what we expected. When it comes to the remaining three, in the next Visa Bulletin, the low cut-off number of movements may continue. It is in the final two Visa Bulletins that the change actually occur.

Those are thoughts concerning the just-released Visa Bulletin, as well as upcoming Visa Bulletins in the DV-2024 program.

DISCLAIMER: This post and content is designed for general information only and is NOT legal advice. This site is not offering any Diversity Visa and is not the official site for DV Lottery program. The information presented in this post should not be construed to be formal legal advice. If you have any questions about the DV lottery, please contact an immigration professional/officer or a licensed attorney.

The much-awaited Visa Bulletin For May 2024 has now been released with the cut-off numbers that have been established for the month of June 2024 as part of the DV-2024 program.

Let’s now go over to the advanced notification section of the bulletin and consider the June cut-off numbers. Below are the June 2024 cut-off numbers:

The Africa region was previously established at 52,000. For the month of June, it has been increased to 57,000. This means that case numbers from the Africa region that have just become current are case numbers from 52,000 to 56,999.

In the case of the Asia region, the cut-off number for the month of May was 8,000. For the month of June, it has been increased to 9,000. So the case numbers from the Asia region that have just become current are case numbers going from case number 8,000 to 8,999.

In the case of the Europe region, for the month of May, the cut-off number established was 18,000, and for the month of June, it has been increased to 21,000. This means that the case numbers from the Europe region that have just become current are case numbers going from case number 18,000 to case number 20,999.

In the case of the North America region, the cut-off number for the month of May has been maintained for the month of June, and that cut-off number is 15. So the case numbers that were previously current from the North America region are the case numbers that remain current for the month of June.

To Oceania region, the previous cut-off number for the Oceania region was 1,650. For the month of June, it has been increased to 1,850, which means that the case numbers that have just become current are case numbers from case number 1,650 to case number 1,849.

Then in the case of the South America region, the total number that was previously established was 2,600, which was for the month of May. For the month of June, it has been increased to 2,750, making the case numbers that have just become current from the sub-American region to be case numbers from case number 2,600 to 2,749.

Then in the case of the exception countries, Algeria was previously at 51,000. It has been increased to 56,950. Egypt was previously at 32,000, that is for the month of May. It has been maintained at 32,000 for the month of June. Morocco was previously at 35,000. That is for the month of May, and it has been increased to 41,500 for the month of June.

Then to the exception countries from the Asia region, that is Iran and Nepal, both of those exception countries were previously at 7,100. That’s their cut-off number for the month of May, and that cut-off number has been increased to 8,500 for each one of those exception countries from the Asia region for the month of June.

Finally to the Europe region where previously, that is for the month of May the cut-off number established for Russia was 17,750, and for the month of June, it has been increased to 20,240. Then the final exception country from the Europe region, Uzbekistan, made cut-off number was at 8,000, and that cut-off number has been increased to 9,000 for the month of June.

Those are the cut-off numbers to apply during the month of June 2024, as well as the case numbers that just became current in the DV-2024 program. In an upcoming article, we will have the time to take a closer look at those numbers.

DISCLAIMER: This post and content is designed for general information only and is NOT legal advice. This site is not offering any Diversity Visa and is not the official site for DV Lottery program. The information presented in this post should not be construed to be formal legal advice.

DV 2024 cut-off numbers Issue: We are now aware of the cut-off number that have been established in the DV 2024 program for the month of May 2024, as published in the Diversity Visa Bulletin For April 2024.

What those cut-off numbers have done is, they have established fear in the minds of so many diversity visa applicants, and that is the case because of two reasons.

The first reason is that most applicants expected the cut-off number for their region to go beyond where they were actually established for the month of May. And then in addition to that, some people has already established what they believe will be the final cut-off numbers in the DV 2024 program. Accordingly, that was based on the DV 2024 CEAC data.

Note: The CEAC data or the data of a DV program is not the only factor that determines the final cut-off numbers of that program. There are other factors that could override the data, and that have been seen different times. So anyone who limits himself to the data of the program to determine what the final cut-off numbers will have one of these three problems.

The first problem that such a person could have is that they may be new to the diversity visa program. The second problem that such a person may have, is that they base their reasoning more on theory than on what happens in practice. If that is not the case, then such a person does not learn from past experience. So it is either one of those three problems that such a person, a person who bases their reasoning only on the data has.

There are other factors that could play a part in determining the final cut-off numbers in the Diversity Visa Program:

The first of those factors that could influence the final cut of numbers in the diversity visa program is the approach that is taken by those who are in charge of running the program. What does this mean? Data in the diversity visa program is important. In case those who are running the program have a certain approach, that approach is going to override what the data is suggesting.

A notable instance was the end of the DV 2023 program. When the data was showing that they had reached the 55,000 visas to be issued out, those who were running the program were still sending out interview notifications to applicants. Was it the right thing to do? No, it was not the right thing to do, but it was what was done. So not always what the data suggests, not always what should happen ends up happening.

Sometimes, the approach that is being applied by those who are running the program could overrun what should happen, could overrun what the data are suggesting. That is one thing that you must get clear as a diversity visa applicant.

Another factor that could influence the final cut-off numbers in the diversity visa program is policy. The movements in the diversity visa cut-off numbers are a very effective way of implementing policy. Let’s take this example, In case the State Department wants a certain number of applicants to be interviewed at a certain time during the fiscal year. They don’t have to go through any difficulty. They will simply play with the numbers, play with the number of the region concerned, and they get what they want.

If, for example, they want to reduce the number of applicants from a specific region, all they need to do will be to keep the number of that region low. At the end of the day, many applicants from that region will not be interviewed, and that policy will be implemented. Their goal will be achieved.

On the other hand, in case they want a high number of applicants from a certain region, all they need to do is to push the numbers further. They are going to get so many applicants current, and those applicants will end up being interviewed, and they get what they want.

So, considering only the data to draw conclusions as it relates to the final cut-off numbers in the diversity visa program is not an effective way of getting to know the final cut-off numbers. Any of those other factors above could overrun what the data is saying, and what will happen will not be in line with what the data suggests it originally.

Based on past experience, in case you have been following a diversity visa program, you will realize that the data is not the only factor that affects the determination of the final cut-off number.

There is another reason why you cannot wholly rely on the data in the current context of the diversity visa program, when it comes to determining the final cut-off number in this year’s program. Next post will expose other reasons to you.

But this was just to say to you that data in the current context of the diversity visa program is not the only factor that could influence the determination of the final cut-off number. Look out for that other post which exposes the next reason why you cannot wholly rely on data in the current context of the diversity visa program.

DISCLAIMER: This post and content is designed for general information only and is NOT legal advice. This site is not offering any Diversity Visa and is not the official site for DV Lottery program. The information presented in this post should not be construed to be formal legal advice.